Georgia have shown throughout the Nations League that they are very capable of scoring a lot of goals and Gibraltar have been very prone to conceding them. So, a dominant display by Georgia is expected, with Kvaratskhelia likely to be amongst the goals.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Georgia win with a probability of 56.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 19.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Georgia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.5%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Georgia would win this match.
-0.01) 
0.01) 
