This has the potential to be a very tricky match for Spain, as Norway have a lot of talent in their ranks. The absence of Haaland is a huge boost for the home team, though, and we are backing La Roja to navigate their way to an important three points in their section opener. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 64.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Norway had a probability of 13.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.96%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Norway win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
Spain	Draw	Norway
64.63%	21.5%	13.87%

Both teams to score 43.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.45%

51.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.65%

73.34%

Spain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.73%

15.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.04%

43.96%

Norway Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.91%

48.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.7%

83.29%

Score Analysis

Spain 64.62%

Norway 13.87%

Draw 21.5%

Spain	Draw	Norway
1-0 @ 13.79% 2-0 @ 12.96% 2-1 @ 9.49% 3-0 @ 8.12% 3-1 @ 5.95% 4-0 @ 3.82% 4-1 @ 2.8% 3-2 @ 2.18% 5-0 @ 1.44% 5-1 @ 1.05% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2% Total : 64.62%	1-1 @ 10.1% 0-0 @ 7.34% 2-2 @ 3.48% Other @ 0.58% Total : 21.5%	0-1 @ 5.38% 1-2 @ 3.7% 0-2 @ 1.97% 1-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.93% Total : 13.87%