SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 86.47%. A draw had a probability of 9.4% and a win for Cyprus had a probability of 4.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 4-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.46%), while for a Cyprus win it was 0-1 (1.42%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spain | Draw | Cyprus |
86.47% ( 0.13) | 9.42% ( -0.09) | 4.11% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 42.67% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.9% ( 0.26) | 28.1% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.13% ( 0.32) | 48.87% ( -0.32) |
| Spain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.65% ( 0.07) | 4.35% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.02% ( 0.2) | 17.98% ( -0.2) |
| Cyprus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 44.61% ( 0.02) | 55.39% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 11.89% ( 0.01) | 88.11% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spain | Draw | Cyprus |
| 3-0 @ 12.37% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 7.31% ( -0)2-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.16% 6-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)7-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.91% Total : 86.46% | 1-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.48% Total : 9.42% | 0-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.37% Total : 4.11% |
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