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Nations League | League B
Sep 24, 2022 at 5pm UK
Arena Petrol
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Slovenia
2 - 1
Norway

Sporar (69'), Sesko (81')
Sporar (64'), Stojanovic (64'), Kurtic (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Braut Haaland (47')
Thorstvedt (37'), Thorsby (72')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Slovenia 2-2 Serbia
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Norway 3-2 Sweden
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Slovenia 1-2 Norway

We expect to see a closely-fought encounter in Slovenia on Saturday, but the visitors' greater quality in midfield and attack is likely to prove the difference in the end. Norway could secure promotion to League A with a victory, so Haaland is likely to be more motivated than ever to add to his tally of 20 international goals and counting. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 39.03%. A win for Slovenia had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.47%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Slovenia win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
SloveniaDrawNorway
36.79% (0.266 0.27) 24.18% (-0.07 -0.07) 39.03% (-0.195 -0.2)
Both teams to score 60.77% (0.297 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.23% (0.368 0.37)41.76% (-0.369 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.83% (0.37 0.37)64.17% (-0.369 -0.37)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.39% (0.31 0.31)22.61% (-0.309 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.78% (0.455 0.45)56.22% (-0.454 -0.45)
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.52% (0.067999999999998 0.07)21.48% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.48% (0.10299999999999 0.1)54.52% (-0.102 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Slovenia 36.79%
    Norway 39.03%
    Draw 24.17%
SloveniaDrawNorway
2-1 @ 8.26% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.22% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.37% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.09% (0.052 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.033 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 36.79%
1-1 @ 11.1% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 6.35% (0.036 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.17%
1-2 @ 8.54% (-0.029000000000002 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.47% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-2 @ 5.74% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-3 @ 4.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.26% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.94% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.68% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.25% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 39.03%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Slovenia 2-2 Serbia
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Norway 0-0 Slovenia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Serbia 4-1 Slovenia
Sunday, June 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Slovenia 0-2 Sweden
Thursday, June 2 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Slovenia 0-0 Qatar
Tuesday, March 29 at 6.30pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Croatia 1-1 Slovenia
Saturday, March 26 at 2pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Norway 3-2 Sweden
Sunday, June 12 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Norway 0-0 Slovenia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Sweden 1-2 Norway
Sunday, June 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Serbia 0-1 Norway
Thursday, June 2 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Norway 9-0 Armenia
Tuesday, March 29 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Norway 2-0 Slovakia
Friday, March 25 at 5pm in International Friendlies


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