Nations League | League A

Sep 27, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Portugal
0 - 1
Spain

Silva (46'), Mendes (83'), Felix (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Morata (88')
Guillamon (31'), Carvajal (55')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Nations League clash between Portugal and Spain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Tuesday's UEFA Nations League clash with Portugal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Czech Republic 0-4 Portugal
Saturday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	5	9	10
2	Spain	5	2	8
3	Switzerland	5	-4	6
4	Czech Republic	5	-7	4

Spain

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Spain 1-2 Switzerland
Saturday, September 24 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A2 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	5	9	10
2	Spain	5	2	8
3	Switzerland	5	-4	6
4	Czech Republic	5	-7	4

Spain's frontline did not cut the mustard against Switzerland, but Enrique's side always seem to have a knack for scoring goals, and they will be forced to go all out on that front if they are to stand a chance of progressing. Such an approach will of course leave La Roja vulnerable to Portugal's pace on the counter, and the Selecao can take advantage to snatch victory and seal their place in the Nations League Finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Spain had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Spain win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
Portugal	Draw	Spain
41.81% ( -0.02)	24.52% ( -0.23)	33.66% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 58.9% (

0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.06% (

1.11)

43.93% (

-1.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.68% (

1.08)

66.32% (

-1.08)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.9% (

0.46)

21.09% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.07% (

0.72)

53.92% (

-0.73)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.65% (

0.67)

25.34% (

-0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.86% (

0.92)

60.13% (

-0.92)

Score Analysis

Portugal 41.81%

Spain 33.66%

Draw 24.51%

Portugal	Draw	Spain
2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.67% Total : 41.81%	1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.51%	1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.58% Total : 33.66%