SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Belgium | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Austria | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Sweden | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Estonia | 4 | -9 | 1 |
| 5 | Azerbaijan | 4 | -9 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 45.45%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Austria had a probability of 26.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for an Austria win it was 0-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sweden | Draw | Austria |
45.45% ( 0.03) | 27.76% ( -0.01) | 26.78% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 45.4% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.21% ( 0.01) | 59.78% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.92% ( 0.01) | 80.07% ( -0.01) |
| Sweden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.72% ( 0.02) | 26.27% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.61% ( 0.03) | 61.39% ( -0.03) |
| Austria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.58% ( -0.01) | 38.42% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.83% ( -0.01) | 75.17% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sweden | Draw | Austria |
| 1-0 @ 13.49% 2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.84% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 2% Total : 45.45% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.13% ( 0)Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.75% | 0-1 @ 9.66% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.62% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.58% Total : 26.78% |
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