SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.3%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Barnet |
49.36% ( -0.07) | 21.8% ( -0.02) | 28.84% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 66.32% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.87% ( 0.15) | 33.13% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.13% ( 0.18) | 54.87% ( -0.17) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.09% ( 0.03) | 13.91% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.65% ( 0.06) | 41.35% ( -0.06) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.04% ( 0.13) | 22.96% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.26% ( 0.19) | 56.74% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Barnet |
| 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.97% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.17% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.79% Total : 49.36% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.8% | 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.46% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 28.84% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
