Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
38.63% | 25.04% | 36.33% |
Both teams to score 57.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.12% | 45.87% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.81% | 68.18% |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.49% | 23.5% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.46% | 57.53% |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.26% | 24.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.71% | 59.28% |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
2-1 @ 8.51% 1-0 @ 8.42% 2-0 @ 6.09% 3-1 @ 4.11% 3-0 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.07% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.09% Total : 38.63% | 1-1 @ 11.75% 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 5.81% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.03% | 1-2 @ 8.21% 0-1 @ 8.12% 0-2 @ 5.67% 1-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 2.64% 1-4 @ 1.34% 2-4 @ 0.97% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.86% Total : 36.33% |
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