SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Stevenage |
47.93% ( 0.01) | 24.24% ( 0.14) | 27.83% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 56.75% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.61% ( -0.73) | 45.39% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.28% ( -0.7) | 67.72% ( 0.71) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.96% ( -0.28) | 19.04% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.39% ( -0.48) | 50.62% ( 0.48) |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.1% ( -0.48) | 29.9% ( 0.49) |
