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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa | Draw | Stevenage |
47.93% ( 0.01) | 24.24% ( 0.14) | 27.83% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 56.75% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.61% ( -0.73) | 45.39% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.28% ( -0.7) | 67.72% ( 0.71) |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.96% ( -0.28) | 19.04% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.39% ( -0.48) | 50.62% ( 0.48) |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.1% ( -0.48) | 29.9% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34% ( -0.59) | 66% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa | Draw | Stevenage |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.22% Total : 47.93% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.23% | 1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.19% Total : 27.83% |
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