With two of the league's form sides and two of its strongest squads squaring off, we anticipate a high-quality encounter on Friday and just tip the balance in favour of the hosts.
Barrow certainly have the tools to hurt their opponents, but with home advantage we see Evans's side having just enough to come out with all three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 49.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 24.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
0.09) 
-0.03) 
