With five of their last six home games in all competitions finishing all square, we think that Pompey will play out another draw on Tuesday against Stevenage, which would send the last-16 tie to penalties.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 0-1 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
0.09) 
-0.12) 
