SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 59.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 18.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Leeds United win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Leeds United |
59.72% ( -0.31) | 21.82% ( 0.12) | 18.46% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 52.88% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.13% ( -0.21) | 44.87% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.78% ( -0.2) | 67.22% ( 0.2) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.37% ( -0.17) | 14.62% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.26% ( -0.32) | 42.74% ( 0.32) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.93% ( 0.09) | 38.06% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.17% ( 0.09) | 74.83% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.28% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.66% Total : 59.71% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.81% | 0-1 @ 5.38% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 18.46% |
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