Stoke are more than capable of beating Palace, and we are expecting a close match at Selhurst Park. The Eagles will have a lot of quality in their XI even if Vieira makes a number of changes, though, and we are finding it difficult to back against the home side when it comes to progressing to the final eight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Crystal Palace in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Crystal Palace.

Result
Crystal Palace	Draw	Stoke City
47.81%	24.87%	27.31%

Both teams to score 54.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.52%

48.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.39%

70.6%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.68%

20.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.3%

52.69%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.1%

31.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.65%

68.35%

Score Analysis

Crystal Palace 47.8%

Stoke City 27.31%

Draw 24.87%

Crystal Palace	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 9.4% 2-0 @ 8.23% 3-1 @ 5% 3-0 @ 4.37% 3-2 @ 2.85% 4-1 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.74% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.75% Total : 47.8%	1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 6.48% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.87%	0-1 @ 7.41% 1-2 @ 6.74% 0-2 @ 4.23% 1-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.71% Total : 27.31%