Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 62.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 17.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 0-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 2-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
17.54% ( -0.01) | 20.27% ( -0.02) | 62.19% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 56.35% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.6% ( 0.06) | 39.39% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.27% ( 0.06) | 61.73% ( -0.06) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.15% ( 0.02) | 35.85% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.37% ( 0.02) | 72.62% ( -0.02) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.84% ( 0.02) | 12.15% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.23% ( 0.05) | 37.76% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Chesterfield |
2-1 @ 4.83% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.29% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.55% Total : 17.54% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.27% | 1-2 @ 9.93% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.97% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.8% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.68% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.58% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.89% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.55% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 3.86% Total : 62.19% |
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