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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
QL

Fleetwood
2 - 1
QPR

Nsiala (40'), Omochere (67')
Vela (73')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Field (37')
Kakay (65')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: QPR 1-1 Sheff Utd
Monday, January 2 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Fleetwood Town 1-3 Queens Park Rangers

Fleetwood Town will be fully motivated to earn a shock result on Saturday and earn a place in the fourth round of the FA Cup for the first time in the club's history, although they face a tough assignment against QPR. The R's are likely to rotate their XI slightly from the one which drew with Sheffield United earlier in the week but should still have enough quality within the matchday squad to secure their passage into the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 47.34%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.4%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawQueens Park Rangers
27.29% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 25.36% (0.041999999999998 0.04) 47.34% (-0.131 -0.13)
Both teams to score 52.7% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.47% (-0.129 -0.13)50.52% (0.122 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.55% (-0.114 -0.11)72.44% (0.107 0.11)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)32.99% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.57% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.64% (-0.113 -0.11)21.35% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.67% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)54.32% (0.163 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 27.29%
    Queens Park Rangers 47.33%
    Draw 25.36%
Fleetwood TownDrawQueens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 7.81% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.69% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.33% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.6% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 27.29%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.04% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 10.87% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.31% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.79% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.32% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.85% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.67% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 47.33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Fleetwood
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Fleetwood
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Sheff Weds
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 1-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 1-1 Fleetwood
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-1 Fleetwood
Sunday, November 27 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: QPR 1-1 Sheff Utd
Monday, January 2 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-3 Luton
Thursday, December 29 at 6pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-0 QPR
Monday, December 26 at 5.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 0-1 QPR
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-3 Burnley
Sunday, December 11 at 1pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 2-1 Livingston
Tuesday, November 29 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1


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