SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.39%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
34.46% ( 0.22) | 23.79% ( 0.09) | 41.75% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 61.81% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.76% ( -0.4) | 40.24% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.39% ( -0.41) | 62.61% ( 0.41) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.85% ( -0.06) | 23.16% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.97% ( -0.09) | 57.03% ( 0.09) |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.43% ( -0.3) | 19.57% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.51% ( -0.5) | 51.49% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 34.46% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 6.03% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.8% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.21% Total : 41.75% |
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