Oxford City will fancy their chances of causing an upset against a side three divisions above them, but Fleetwood will be regarded as firm favourites for this contest in front of their own fans and they should have few problems in securing a routine victory.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
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