Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (11.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Doncaster Rovers in this match.
0.03) 
-0.04) 
