Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 53.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 22.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Port Vale in this match.
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