Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
-0.06) 
0.02) 
