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MU
Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 3, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Old Trafford
WL

Man Utd
0 - 1
Wolves


McTominay (48'), Shaw (56'), Matic (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Moutinho (82')
Sa (90+4')

We said: Manchester United 1-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers

There are no two ways about it - Man United cannot afford a hint of profligacy if they are to stand a chance of success against this well-rested and disciplined Wolves outfit, whatever shape the visitors may be in. It was difficult to back a Man United win with any real conviction here, and if Lage does have most of his big-hitters available, we can envisage the European hopefuls frustrating the Red Devils and coming away with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 58.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 17.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Manchester UnitedDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
58.95%23.28%17.78%
Both teams to score 47.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.11%51.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.36%73.64%
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.69%17.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.33%47.67%
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.01%42.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.72%79.28%
Score Analysis
    Manchester United 58.94%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 17.78%
    Draw 23.27%
Manchester UnitedDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
1-0 @ 13.05%
2-0 @ 11.44%
2-1 @ 9.66%
3-0 @ 6.69%
3-1 @ 5.65%
4-0 @ 2.93%
4-1 @ 2.48%
3-2 @ 2.39%
4-2 @ 1.05%
5-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 58.94%
1-1 @ 11.01%
0-0 @ 7.44%
2-2 @ 4.08%
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 23.27%
0-1 @ 6.28%
1-2 @ 4.65%
0-2 @ 2.65%
1-3 @ 1.31%
2-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 17.78%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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