Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 70.07%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Mossley AFC had a probability of 12.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.86%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Mossley AFC win it was 1-0 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
0.09) 
-0.18) 
