Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
