SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Southport had a probability of 24.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Southport |
50.92% ( 0) | 24.91% ( 0.11) | 24.17% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 51.28% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.98% ( -0.52) | 51.02% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.12% ( -0.45) | 72.88% ( 0.46) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.96% ( -0.2) | 20.04% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.75% ( -0.33) | 52.25% ( 0.33) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.13% ( -0.38) | 35.87% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.36% ( -0.39) | 72.64% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chorley | Draw | Southport |
| 1-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.76% Total : 50.92% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.78% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.92% Total : 24.17% |
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