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League One | Gameweek 21
Dec 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
OU

Peterborough
3 - 0
Oxford Utd

Kyprianou (23'), Jade-Jones (34'), De Havilland (90+2')
Kioso (60')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bodin (63')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Peterborough United 1-1 Oxford United

Peterborough have not lost to Oxford in their last six competitive meetings, but the visitors are different this season. The home side have been great in front of their fans, while Oxford have been solid on the road as well. We predict a close match with the score level at the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 53.45%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 24.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawOxford United
53.45% (0.059999999999995 0.06) 22.26% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 24.28% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 60.15% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.66% (0.081000000000003 0.08)39.34% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.32% (0.086000000000006 0.09)61.68% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.22% (0.049999999999997 0.05)14.77% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.97% (0.091999999999999 0.09)43.02% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.58% (0.01700000000001 0.02)29.41% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59% (0.021999999999998 0.02)65.41% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 53.45%
    Oxford United 24.29%
    Draw 22.25%
Peterborough UnitedDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 9.72%
1-0 @ 8.31% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.2% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.79% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.96% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.42% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.81% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 53.45%
1-1 @ 10.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 4.35% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.25%
1-2 @ 6.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.32% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 24.29%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Peterborough 3-0 Arsenal U21s
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Doncaster
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Stevenage 2-2 Peterborough
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 4-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Colchester 1-0 Peterborough
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Salford City 4-4 Peterborough (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, November 14 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Forest Green 0-1 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, December 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-0 Bolton
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 5-0 Chelsea U21s
Tuesday, November 7 at 7pm in EFL Trophy


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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