Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 22.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.02) 
