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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2023 at 6pm UK
Hillsborough Stadium
NL

Sheff Weds
2 - 1
Newcastle

Windass (52', 65')
Dele-Bashiru (45+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Guimaraes (69')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 0-0 Newcastle
Tuesday, January 3 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sheffield Wednesday in this match.

Result
Sheffield WednesdayDrawNewcastle United
46.1% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 24.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 29.73% (-0.014999999999997 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)43.93% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)66.32% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.78% (0.007000000000005 0.01)19.21% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.09% (0.010000000000005 0.01)50.91% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)27.83% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.58% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)63.42% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield Wednesday 46.1%
    Newcastle United 29.73%
    Draw 24.17%
Sheffield WednesdayDrawNewcastle United
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 8.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.27% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 5.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.27%
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.65% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 46.1%
1-1 @ 11.28%
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.17%
1-2 @ 7.22% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 6.84% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 29.73%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sheff Weds 5-0 Cambridge
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-0 Port Vale
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Sheff Weds
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 0-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Arsenal 0-0 Newcastle
Tuesday, January 3 at 7.45pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 0-0 Leeds
Saturday, December 31 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 0-3 Newcastle
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Bournemouth
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, December 17 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Al-Hilal 0-5 Newcastle
Thursday, December 8 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1


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