SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Newcastle United |
34.81% ( -0.02) | 25.05% ( 0) | 40.13% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.31% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.87% ( -0.02) | 46.12% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.57% ( -0.02) | 68.42% ( 0.02) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.29% ( -0.02) | 25.71% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.37% ( -0.02) | 60.63% ( 0.02) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.15% ( -0.01) | 22.85% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.42% ( -0.01) | 56.58% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 8% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.42% 3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.81% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.04% | 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.28% 0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.21% Total : 40.13% |
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