Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Leicester City had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Leicester City win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.