SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 59.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 20.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 1-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Newcastle United |
59.09% ( 4.08) | 20.83% ( -1.38) | 20.08% ( -2.7) |
| Both teams to score 59.21% ( 0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.12% ( 2.86) | 37.87% ( -2.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.87% ( 2.99) | 60.13% ( -2.99) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.44% ( 2.19) | 12.55% ( -2.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.39% ( 4.36) | 38.6% ( -4.36) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.71% ( -0.85) | 32.29% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.21% ( -0.98) | 68.79% ( 0.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.23)1-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.46)3-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.55)3-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.62)3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.23)4-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.54)4-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.54)4-2 @ 2% ( 0.26)5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.32)5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.31)Other @ 3.93% Total : 59.09% | 1-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.75) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.58)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.83% | 1-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.57) 0-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.78)0-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.51)2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.27)0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.22)Other @ 2.43% Total : 20.08% |
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