SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 58.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 1-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Bournemouth |
58.62% ( -3.63) | 21.09% ( 0.23) | 20.29% ( 3.41) |
| Both teams to score 58.61% ( 5.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.18% ( 4.47) | 38.82% ( -4.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.86% ( 4.56) | 61.13% ( -4.56) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87% ( 0.35) | 12.99% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.49% ( 0.7) | 39.51% ( -0.7) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.36% ( 6.34) | 32.64% ( -6.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.81% ( 6.51) | 69.18% ( -6.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.83% ( -1.71)1-0 @ 8.65% ( -1.82)3-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 6.01% ( -1.08)3-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.62)4-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.5)4-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.34)5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.19)Other @ 3.68% Total : 58.62% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.85)0-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.96)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.42)Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.09% | 1-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.78) 0-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.35)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.6)1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.56)0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.27)Other @ 2.37% Total : 20.29% |
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