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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leamington FC win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leamington FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leamington FC | Draw | Alfreton Town |
38.76% ( -2.81) | 27.43% ( -0.07) | 33.8% ( 2.88) |
| Both teams to score 49.32% ( 1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.74% ( 0.91) | 56.26% ( -0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.7% ( 0.73) | 77.3% ( -0.73) |
| Leamington FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.78% ( -1.14) | 28.22% ( 1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.07% ( -1.46) | 63.93% ( 1.46) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.72% ( 2.46) | 31.28% ( -2.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.37% ( 2.77) | 67.63% ( -2.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leamington FC | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.77) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.26)2-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.73)3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.42)3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.17)Other @ 1.83% Total : 38.76% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.31)2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.5)0-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.57)1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.37)0-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.36)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.18)Other @ 2.96% Total : 33.8% |
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