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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 9, 2022 at 2pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
M

Spurs
3 - 1
Morecambe

Winks (74'), Moura (85'), Kane (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
O'Connor (33')
Diagouraga (44'), Cooney (74')

We said: Tottenham Hotspur 3-0 Morecambe

Morecambe's never-say-die attitude truly came to the fore against Doncaster, and the visitors will be fired-up to the maximum for this occasion, but Spurs should do their talking on the pitch. The Lilywhites faithful will most likely have one eye on the transfer window over the weekend as well, but Conte's men should cruise to a comfortable win regardless. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 66.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 14.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Tottenham HotspurDrawMorecambe
66.46%19.46%14.07%
Both teams to score 50.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.43%42.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.02%64.98%
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.08%11.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.72%37.27%
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.76%42.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.36%78.64%
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur 66.44%
    Morecambe 14.07%
    Draw 19.46%
Tottenham HotspurDrawMorecambe
2-0 @ 11.38%
1-0 @ 10.7%
2-1 @ 9.82%
3-0 @ 8.08%
3-1 @ 6.96%
4-0 @ 4.29%
4-1 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 3%
5-0 @ 1.83%
4-2 @ 1.6%
5-1 @ 1.57%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 66.44%
1-1 @ 9.23%
0-0 @ 5.04%
2-2 @ 4.23%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 19.46%
0-1 @ 4.34%
1-2 @ 3.98%
0-2 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.22%
1-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 14.07%

Read more!
Read more!


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