Walsall and Carlisle are very evenly matched, as illustrated by their 0-0 draw earlier this month. There may be some goals in this encounter, due to the attacking threat posed by Danny Johnson and Krystian Dennis, but a replay could be on the cards to decide who progresses to the third round.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
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