Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 44.75%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Walsall had a probability of 27.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Walsall win it was 0-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
0.31) 
-0.32) 
