Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Walsall win with a probability of 49.3%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Walsall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Walsall would win this match.
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