Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 53.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
0) 
-0.01) 
