It should be a tight game at the EnviroVent Stadium, and the hosts should be up for it given their predicament. We expect Carlisle to be too strong for them, though, and they should pick up the win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
-1.32) 
1.36) 
