Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
30.38% ( -0.05) | 26.71% ( 0.01) | 42.91% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.44% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.66% ( -0.05) | 54.34% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.28% ( -0.04) | 75.72% ( 0.04) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.34% ( -0.06) | 32.66% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.79% ( -0.07) | 69.21% ( 0.07) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.91% ( 0.01) | 25.09% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.21% ( 0.01) | 59.79% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 9.17% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 30.38% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 42.91% |
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