Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 64.31%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 14.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
0.1) 
-0.39) 
