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League Two | Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
AW

Rochdale
1 - 2
AFC Wimbledon

FT(HT: 0-1)
Assal (39'), Davison (64')
Towler (20'), Gunter (59'), Assal (86'), Woodyard (90+3')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Rochdale and AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 51.42%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 22.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
RochdaleDrawAFC Wimbledon
51.42% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 26.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 22.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 46.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.31% (0.011000000000003 0.01)56.69% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)77.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.87% (0.0040000000000049 0)22.13% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.5% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)55.5% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.43% (0.007000000000005 0.01)40.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.83% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)77.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 51.42%
    AFC Wimbledon 22.55%
    Draw 26.03%
RochdaleDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 13.54%
2-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 9.21% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.14%
3-1 @ 4.63% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.94%
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 51.42%
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 8.98% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 8.1% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 5.51% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.65%
1-3 @ 1.66% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 22.55%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Rochdale 2-2 Salford City (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Rochdale 2-1 Barrow
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-1 Rochdale
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 1-2 Doncaster
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Rochdale
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 1-0 Liverpool U21s
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Sutton
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 3-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Colchester
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 2-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-2 Crawley
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two


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