Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 51.42%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 22.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
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