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League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
SU

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 1
Sutton


Pell (13'), Maghoma (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Eastmond (30')
Bugiel (55'), Randall (77'), Milsom (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Sutton United

Although Wimbledon have not been in great form recently, they should have enough about them to beat Sutton. The visitors have really struggled for goals recently, and this is also coupled with the worst away record in the division. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 41.25%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawSutton United
41.25% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05) 28.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 30.5% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 46.06% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.07% (0.027000000000001 0.03)59.93% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.82% (0.018999999999998 0.02)80.18% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.43% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)28.57% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.63% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)64.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.48% (0.055999999999997 0.06)35.52% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.71% (0.058999999999997 0.06)72.28% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 41.25%
    Sutton United 30.5%
    Draw 28.23%
AFC WimbledonDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 12.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.96% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-0 @ 3.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 41.25%
1-1 @ 13.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.23%
0-1 @ 10.5%
1-2 @ 6.81% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.44% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.88% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 30.5%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Walsall 3-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Colchester
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 2-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-2 Crawley
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Carlisle 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Northampton
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 0-2 Tranmere
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stevenage 3-0 Sutton
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Sutton
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-2 Salford City
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-1 Sutton
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Sutton 2-0 Hartlepool
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two


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