SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Luton Town |
27.58% ( 0.19) | 26.21% ( -0.43) | 46.2% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 50.32% ( 1.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.27% ( 1.76) | 53.73% ( -1.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.79% ( 1.46) | 75.21% ( -1.46) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.53% ( 1.09) | 34.46% ( -1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.82% ( 1.15) | 71.18% ( -1.15) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.78% ( 0.88) | 23.21% ( -0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.88% ( 1.27) | 57.12% ( -1.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.2% Total : 27.58% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 8% ( -0.57)2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.2)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.51) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 4.42% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.84% Total : 46.2% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
