Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 55.13%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 23.83% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.25%) and 1-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.
