Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Atletico Madrid
41.93% ( 3.17)	25.26% ( -0.81)	32.81% ( -2.36)

Both teams to score 56.09% (

2.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.51% (

3.05)

47.49% (

-3.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.3% (

2.76)

69.7% (

-2.76)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.44% (

2.98)

22.56% (

-2.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.85% (

4.25)

56.15% (

-4.25)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.43% (

0.02)

27.57% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.9% (

0.03)

63.1% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Manchester City 41.93%

Atletico Madrid 32.81%

Draw 25.25%

Manchester City	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.43) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.56) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.44) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.36) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.33) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.26) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.21) Other @ 2.25% Total : 41.93%	1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.45) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.83) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.28) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 8.01% ( -1.06) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.68) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.29) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.91% Total : 32.81%