Both sides will sense an opportunity to take maximum points, but as Spezia tend to travel so badly, Salernitana's greater goal threat can pay dividends. They have found the net at a rate of nearly two goals per game at the Arechi, so should be able to continue in that vein this weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 51.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 23.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Salernitana in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Salernitana.
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