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Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Arechi
SC
Spezia Calcio logo

Salernitana
1 - 0
Spezia

Mazzocchi (48')
Vilhena (19'), Daniliuc (81'), Nicola (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Amian (19'), Kiwior (61'), Agudelo (81'), Holm (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Salernitana
Sunday, October 16 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 3-1 Brescia
Wednesday, October 19 at 2pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Salernitana 2-1 Spezia

Both sides will sense an opportunity to take maximum points, but as Spezia tend to travel so badly, Salernitana's greater goal threat can pay dividends. They have found the net at a rate of nearly two goals per game at the Arechi, so should be able to continue in that vein this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 51.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 23.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Salernitana in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Salernitana.

Result
SalernitanaDrawSpezia
51.92% (-0.125 -0.13) 25.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 23.03% (0.131 0.13)
Both teams to score 49.59% (0.167 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.38% (0.145 0.15)52.62% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.73% (0.124 0.12)74.27% (-0.125 -0.13)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.74% (0.0040000000000049 0)20.26% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.39% (0.009999999999998 0.01)52.61% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.19% (0.20500000000001 0.21)37.8% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.42% (0.2 0.2)74.58% (-0.20100000000001 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 51.91%
    Spezia 23.03%
    Draw 25.05%
SalernitanaDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 12.22% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 9.76% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 5.2% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.46% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.07% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 51.91%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 7.66% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.79% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.62% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 23.03%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Salernitana
Sunday, October 16 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 2-1 Hellas Verona
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 5-0 Salernitana
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 1-2 Lecce
Friday, September 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 2-2 Salernitana
Sunday, September 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Empoli
Monday, September 5 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 3-1 Brescia
Wednesday, October 19 at 2pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Spezia 2-2 Cremonese
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 2-0 Spezia
Sunday, October 9 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 4-0 Spezia
Sunday, October 2 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 2-1 Sampdoria
Saturday, September 17 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 1-0 Spezia
Saturday, September 10 at 2pm in Serie A


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