As Salernitana have scored just three times away from home so far, their trip to the capital is surely doomed to end in failure. Lazio are watertight at the back and can be clinical up front, so even allowing for a drop in levels ahead of next week's events they should get the job done.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 72.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.7%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
0.1) 
-0.04) 
