Salernitana will be angry after falling to a late defeat against Fiorentina in midweek, and we can envisage them bouncing back with a win on Sunday.
Monza are at least one year behind their forthcoming opponents in terms of their development, and that may be more obvious than expected at the weekend.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 59.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
0.21) 
-0.02) 
