SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 59.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Salernitana |
59.59% ( 0.21) | 22.19% ( -0.02) | 18.22% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 51.24% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.17% ( -0.2) | 46.83% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.91% ( -0.18) | 69.09% ( 0.18) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.67% ( 0) | 15.32% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.93% ( 0) | 44.07% ( -0.01) |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.51% ( -0.33) | 39.49% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.82% ( -0.31) | 76.18% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Salernitana |
| 1-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.9% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.36% Total : 59.58% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.99% Total : 22.18% | 0-1 @ 5.62% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.15% Total : 18.22% |
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