SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 70.9%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 11.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-2 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Salernitana |
70.9% ( 0.21) | 17.11% ( -0.08) | 11.99% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 53.03% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.36% ( 0.02) | 36.64% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.2% ( 0.02) | 58.79% ( -0.02) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.82% ( 0.05) | 9.17% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.91% ( 0.13) | 31.09% ( -0.13) |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.38% ( -0.2) | 41.61% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.9% ( -0.17) | 78.1% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Salernitana |
| 2-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0)6-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.43% Total : 70.9% | 1-1 @ 8% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 3.82% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.11% | 1-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.42% Total : 11.99% |
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