SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 74.81%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 10.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 3-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.64%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal | Draw | Bournemouth |
74.81% ( -0.81) | 14.81% ( 0.32) | 10.38% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 56.45% ( 0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.32% ( -0.05) | 29.68% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.19% ( -0.06) | 50.81% ( 0.05) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.31% ( -0.17) | 6.69% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 75.22% ( -0.44) | 24.78% ( 0.44) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.5% ( 0.87) | 39.5% ( -0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.81% ( 0.8) | 76.19% ( -0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 2-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 5.89% ( -0.2)4-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.04)6-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.08)5-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.04)Other @ 4.25% Total : 74.81% | 1-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.2% Total : 14.81% | 1-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.46% Total : 10.38% |
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