SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
45.93% ( -0.91) | 24.85% ( 0.26) | 29.22% ( 0.65) |
| Both teams to score 55.68% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.76% ( -0.77) | 47.23% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.54% ( -0.72) | 69.46% ( 0.72) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.37% ( -0.71) | 20.62% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.82% ( -1.12) | 53.18% ( 1.12) |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.15% ( 0.07) | 29.84% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.07% ( 0.09) | 65.93% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.71% Total : 45.93% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.24% Total : 29.22% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
